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S&P 500 Weekly Market Insights - Week of August 24th

  • Writer: Mike
    Mike
  • 5 days ago
  • 3 min read

Here’s a snapshot of SPY for your reference:


Stock market information for SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)

  • SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is a fund in the USA market.

  • The price is 645.31 USD currently with a change of 9.56 USD (0.02%) from the previous close.

  • The latest open price was 637.72 USD and the intraday volume is 84083214.

  • The intraday high is 646.45 USD and the intraday low is 635.97 USD.

  • The latest trade time is Friday, August 22, 17:15:00 PDT.


Weekly Market Analysis – S&P 500 (Week of August 24, 2025)


1. E-Mini S&P 500 Futures (ES=F, ESU25)

  • Current (recent) level: Approximately 6,483.25, up +1.49% (Yahoo Finance).

  • Range data:

  • Pivot levels (from Barchart’s cheat sheet):

    • Resistance 1: ~6,531.67

    • Std Dev Resistance: ~6,522.43 (Barchart.com).

These levels suggest:

  • Support zone likely around 6,480–6,500, with near-term resistance near 6,520–6,530 and a tougher barrier near 6,508–6,510 (near recent highs).


2. SPY and SPX Options Activity

SPY (ETF)

  • SPY Price: Recently around $645.31, up ~1.5% (Wikipedia, Fidelity Research Tools).

  • Options data (as of August 22, 2025):

    • Implied Volatility (IV): ~12.67%

    • IV Rank: ~9.04% — suggesting currently low volatility relative to history (Investing.com, OptionCharts).

  • Options volume: Around 1.6 million contracts traded — showing decent activity (OptionCharts).

  • Options chain accessibility: You can view detailed strike-level data on platforms like Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Investing.com, or Fidelity (Yahoo Finance).

    • For detailed chain data—like most active strikes, OI, Greeks—I’d recommend visiting one of those real-time quoting sites.

SPX (Index Options on S&P 500 Index)

  • While your request covers SPX, note that SPX options are cash-settled and are typically available via institutional brokers or soon-to-expire data feeds.

  • Public chain data for SPX may require access to specialized analytics platforms (e.g., Cboe, ThinkOrSwim).


3. Strategy Considerations for the Week Ahead

Futures (ES)

  • Bull-leaning scenario:

    • Bounce from near 6,480 and maintain above that level.

    • Potential targets: 6,510–6,520, then testing the 6,530 pivot area.

  • Bear-leaning scenario:

    • Breaking below 6,480 could expose deeper support near pivot and mean swings.

Watch Fed-related events or Jackson Hole speeches—it may shift volatility (IV) and tilt the market bias.

SPY Options

  • Low IV environment at ~12.7% suggests premium is cheap, favoring premium wealthier strategies:

    • Iron condors or vertical spreads capturing range.

    • Long straddles/strangles may be less attractive unless expecting a volatility surge.

  • Key strikes likely cluster around $645 (ATM). For directional trade, you’d examine nearby strikes ±10 points for calls or puts.

SPX Options

  • Trades similar setups but may be more cost-efficient in margin.

  • SPX options may better suit professional players looking to trade volatility, especially with low IV.


Summary Table

Instrument

Key Level / Metric

Insight

ES Futures

~6,483 current

Support ~6,480, resistance ~6,520–6,530


52-week high ~6,508

Near-term ceiling

SPY Price

~$645.31

Reference for ETF

SPY IV / Volume

IV ~12.7%, IV Rank ~9%

Low volatility—cheap premium

SPY Options Strategy

ATM ~$645

Favor premium collectors/neutral strategies

SPX Options

Use if access available, similar strategy logic

Final Thoughts

  • The weekly focus: whether ES holds above 6,480–6,500 or dips below, setting tone for late-August direction.

  • SPY premiums are cheap—ample opportunity for income strategies or low-cost directional bets.

  • Keep an eye on macro headlines—Jackson Hole and Fed comments may inject volatility and shift technical structure.

 
 
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